Monday, July 1, 2013

‘Quantifying the consensus on global warming in the literature’

Inspection shows only 41 of the 64 papers, or 0.3% of the sample, actually endorsed their hypothesis. Criteria for peer review of papers quantifying scientific consensus are discussed.

In the scientific method, then, there is no place for mere consensus. A hypothesis that is demonstrated – such as Pythagoras’ theorem – needs no consensus, for it is true whether anyone believes it or not – i.e., objectively true. A hypothesis that is disproven needs no consensus, for it is objectively false.
“There appears to be little basis in the peer-reviewed literature for the degree of alarm on the issue of man-made climate change which is being expressed in the media and by politicians.”

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